Download Risk and Financial Catastrophe (Palgrave Macmillan Finance by E. Banks PDF

By E. Banks

The danger strategy conventional within the company international to house dangers will be appropriate for non-catastrophic occasions, yet now not for severe occasions. through examining a sequence of earlier mess ups and the suitable 'lessons learned', this books proposes a chain of prescriptive measures to deal with destiny mess ups.

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Sample text

These metrics are associated with very specific physical properties, such as shock strength, wind speed, storm surge, lava expulsion and flow, and so on. In other cases, however, metrics are likely to be far less clear as far as ex-ante measurement is concerned – this is especially true of man-made disasters. For instance, there are no established metrics to objectively measure the severity of an oil-tanker spill, a terrorist attack, or even a financial crisis. Thus, we do not speak of a “Class 1” oil spill, or a “Force 3” terrorist bombing, or a “Grade 10” financial crisis.

When vulnerabilities are present and an event occurs, some amount of losses will result; when the event strikes and no vulnerabilities exist, no losses will occur. For instance, if a nuclear bomb is detonated deep in the Marianas Trench as part of a weapons testing program, no losses will occur because no vulnerabilities exist. If, however, the bomb is detonated by a terrorist organization in the heart of a metropolitan area, significant losses will occur because human and economic vulnerabilities exist.

Naturally, every financial disaster features unique catalysts and unfolds in specific ways – in fact, though common catalysts may exist, evolution is dependent on micro and macro conditions in evidence at the time. It is also worth considering what a financial catastrophe is not: per our definition, a financial catastrophe excludes any event that is idiosyncratic, self-contained, and isolated, and which has no impact on the broader system. Such episodes do not transmit instability throughout the system.

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